Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Polls are Inherently Flawed.
First, just want to thank Chris for having me. Quite honored.
I was going to lament the fact that I missed the bus on the whole Obama/McCain "presidential election" thing, seeing as this thing is pretty much over according to 538, Zogby and - you guessed it - FOX.
But then I saw the most recent poll results regarding the outcome of the World Series, which starts tonight between the Tampa Bay Worship the Devil Rays and The Philadelphia Phillies. The results are outrageous, and patently incorrect.
What does this tell us? Two things, if you ask me (and you have asked me. You clicked and you're reading. Those are the rules of the Internet. You can Google it).
First: Polling is total crap. Obama is losing and Democrats need to fight harder. Don't ease up, unless you want a planet that's 47% on fire (this means you too, Indian Ocean) in 72 months.
Second: Pennsylvania voters will single-handedly decide the outcome of this election.
(Then again, this thing is totally in God's hands, according to Palin. And "she's the most qualified of anyone recently who has run for vice president to tell you the truth..." That's right. Qualified. Joe Biden doesn't have Sarah Palin's Honesty qualifications. He lacks the training.)
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4 comments:
I agree that polling can be totally misleading, but where do you get that Obama is actually losing?
By most state polls, he's ahead by double-digits. fivethirtyeight.com has him with a 96% chance of winning the election.
electoral-vote.com shows Obama 337, McCain 171, Ties 30.
I understand the need for caution, but it seems a bit of a stretch to proclaim that he's actually losing. By what measure?
I'll let Kyle explain his humor, but I'm nearly positive he was being sarcastic.
Hey, I'm the guy who tells people never to underestimate the Democrats' ability to lose an election.
So I thought maybe I'd missed something beyond the beginnings of voter disenfranchisement, the wide electoral margins, the general nastiness of the McCain campaign (coupled with the disingenuous "What, us? Racist? GET OUT!" attitudes of the party as a whole)...some tiny niggling fucking detail (like...I dunno...multiple state referendums on homosexual marriages that just happen to coincide with a presidential election? Yeah, just reaching, no idea where that came from) that would usher in a new era of neo-fascist ideology, and help me decide to move to Scandinavia or Belgium or something.
Well you could move to Belgium for the beer alone! What more convincing do you need?
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